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Ask the Analyst

Like a bunch of Elephants! Treasury yields and stocks
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, July 04, 2004
I've been a subscriber to OptionInvestor.net since 1999.

Another quarterly rebalancing (update)
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, June 27, 2004
It's that time of year. Pull out your brokerage statement, get your calculator out, sharpen up a pencil, as it time to rebalance your investment portfolio.

Position Size is up to you
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, June 20, 2004
When reviewing your "open position profiles" it appears you and I invest the same on your "stock Profiles", $10K/position. I am curious, if you don't mind sharing, how you decide your investment in the option positions.

Accenture, outsourcing, and politics
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, June 13, 2004
My name is Mxxxxxx Bxxxxxx I have been a subscriber for more than 2 years. I would like to know your opinion on ACN (Accenture).

Can I interest you in an IPO? (Retracement)
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, June 06, 2004
Have you ever answered the phone and an unfamiliar voice introduces him/herself to you and asks if you are an investor?

Biotech can bring great reward, and disappointment
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, May 30, 2004
Hello Jeff, I appreciate your insight… what is the technical out look on OSIP ?

Economics 101
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, May 23, 2004
It's summer time in the northern hemisphere and kids are looking forward to some time off from school, but this week's e-mail was largely comprised of questions centering around inflation, and various economic indicators.

Commodity Research Bureau (CRB) Index
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, May 16, 2004
As the U.S. economy recovers from the recent recession, which economists now believe may have started in late 2000 and ended in November 2001, the growth of the U.S. economy, as well as other economies around the globe brings with it an increase in demand for goods and services.

ETF Symbol Guide
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, May 09, 2004
Each week I get a lot of questions for ETF ticker symbols, or questions as to where a trader/investor can find a security that represents a particular sector or index.

Tendency to gravitate toward the pivot (Pivot Analysis)
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, April 25, 2004
This week's question comes from a stock index swing trader, where the question was a complex one, and one I've really had to work at.

Warning! Two stop rule ....
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, April 18, 2004
While the following article may seem like a lecture, I hope you'll read the article in its entirety, but also consider a trading discipline called the two stop rule.

Quarterly rebalancing (update)
By Jeff Bailey | Monday, April 05, 2004
It's that time of the year where investors might be looking to review some of their longer-term holdings, where a quarterly rebalancing is in order.

Breaking down .... the Dow Industrials
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, March 28, 2004
This week we saw further deterioration in the various major market bullish % indicators, and this has my e-mail full of various questions regarding what stocks may be viable put or short candidates, as well as questions on how far we might begin looking for the major markets to decline.

No desire to take possession on Triple Witch
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, March 21, 2004
I received a plethora of questions this week regarding this quarter's Triple Witch expiration, where questions surrounded various observations and comments I made throughout the past week-and-a-half.

Option expiration and Max Pain
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, March 14, 2004
I received several questions this week regarding Max Pain theory, which is a theory, based on mathematics and the never-ending goal of an option market maker to make as much money for himself as possible as option expiration nears ...

Sector bell curve revisited
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, March 07, 2004
It has been quite some time since we looked at the various sector bullish percent charts, and I've had some questions in recent weeks regarding the status of various sectors.

It's head and shoulders above them all
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, February 29, 2004
I'm relatively new to technical analysis and have been reading some books.

The public float and Volume at Price
By Jeff Bailey | Monday, February 23, 2004
I was wondering if you could shed some light on a stock's float, and if there are any trading techniques you might know of for using this supply indicator with technical analysis?

Inside buying and selling
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, February 15, 2004
Is insider buying or selling a good clue as to a stock's future price direction?

Tracking stocks in a matrix
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, February 08, 2004
I've noticed that you will make note of a stock's monthly pivot levels from time to time and you also have shown a monthly pivot matrix with your top picks for 2004.

Out the gate they go!
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, February 01, 2004
This year's 2004 Dow dogs are out of the gate with 2 of this year's "little dogs" leading the pack, while one of the "big dogs" looks to be running the wrong way.

Rebalancing act
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, January 25, 2004
I read with great interest your ask the analyst column from Dec. 28, 2003 regarding the rebalancing of a portfolio.

5-DRT retracement technique and January's First 5 Days
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, January 18, 2004
The Stock Trader's Almanac notes the importance of the first 5 days in predicting the direction of the markets for the coming year.

The Trap!
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, January 11, 2004
Could you please explain again, but somewhat more clearly your comments in today's update as it relates to the "trick" or trap created by market makers, as we all are not institutional traders.

Dow Dogs barked loud in 2003
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, January 04, 2004
Will you be doing another update on the Dow Dogs for 2004? I profited immensely from that article this past year and would like to implement this strategy again in 2004.

Generating new trading ideas
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, December 07, 2003
Can you give me some guidance in scanning for short-term (five to ten day) trade possibilities? How do you come up with your ideas?

5 "beaten down" stocks for late October bull
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, November 02, 2003
The Stock Trader's Almanac notes that late October is a great time to for bulls to be buying stocks, "especially beaten down high-tech stocks" as October marks the end of the worst six months of the year.

The NASDAQ-100
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, October 10, 2003
I learned a lot from the article you wrote regarding the S&P 100 Index and its components. Would it be possible for you to put together a list of the NASDAQ-100 Components?

Cap-weighted vs. Price Weighted Index
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, September 14, 2003
I'm new to trading indices and was wondering if you could give me an simplistic explanation to help me better understand what, or how, a market capitalization weighted index operates versus a price weighted index like the Dow Industrials.

China Depository Receipts for Hot and Sour trading
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, August 03, 2003
Could you please tell me how to find a list of the Chinese telecom and technology stocks---or other growth industries peculiar to China?

China Depository Receipts for Hot and Sour trading
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, August 03, 2003
Could you please tell me how to find a list of the Chinese telecom and technology stocks---or other growth industries peculiar to China?

Weighting your account bullish and bearish
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, July 13, 2003
Jeff: A few questions regarding your business plan. What is your target monthly return? What is the maximum percentage of your account you will place on 1 trade?

Market, sector, stock, and a March 16 review
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, June 01, 2003
Jeff: It's been awhile since you've discussed some of the sector distributions and with the major market bullish percent indicators all at overbought levels, what sectors or stocks might we be looking at from the short side of things?

Shut down your account for vacation? No way!
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, May 18, 2003
You mentioned you might open a newspaper while visiting Dorothy but certainly not watching the markets.

Indices End the Week with a Bang . . . or Did They?
By Linda Piazza | Sunday, May 11, 2003
Unlike Thursday's weak trading, Friday's trading saw most of the indices touch or exceed their daily R2 levels. The NDX and COMPX closed above their respective R2 levels, at or near their day's highs.

Risk/Reward, Point & Figure, and minimizing risk with options
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, May 04, 2003
PnF on Astrazenaca (AZN)... I'm looking at the PnF chart and want to know if my analysis is correct. I figure an upside to 47, counting from the column that has a red A.

Is now the time to be bearish?
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, April 27, 2003
Hi Jeff: Love your work and I think I almost understand it :-) Question, I wondered your thoughts on using the Rydex URSA in my IRA because I can't short in there and use the SPY as a stop-loss tool.

A SENTIMENTal Journey
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, April 20, 2003
I read so much bullish sentiment, and I just don't get it. I went to lunch the other day.

Calculating a % probability of Fed rate cut
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, April 13, 2003
When there is talk about the Fed cutting rates, how is that percentage probability computed? What's the formula?

Breaking a losing streak
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, April 06, 2003
I have been extremely unlucky in the market lately ( if there is such thing as luck ). I've always used mental stops but I'm totally uncomfortable with them right now.........

Sticking with their favorites
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, March 30, 2003
Can you explain why many DOW stocks (MMM) were not even close to their October lows (and others, like BAC), yet the DOW was close to October low? No wonder VIX was not super high.

Take it or leave it?
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, March 23, 2003
Jeff: I paid $2176 for a Mar15 call on VRTY. I can take the stock, put a stop loss on it and hope for improvement, or I could sell the call ($1.40) and take the loss. Is there something else?

Market, sector, stock, with bullish percent distribution
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, March 16, 2003
Jeff: Thanks to OI and your commentary regarding the bullish percent indicators, I've grown more interested in how this indicator of measuring supply and demand.

The best book on trading stocks and options
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, March 09, 2003
Hi Jeff, I'm just learning how to trade options and would like to know your thoughts on any good books to read on the subject.

Looking for triangles and stiff competition
By Jeff Bailey | Sunday, March 02, 2003
Hi Jeff, It's been awhile since we've talked about triangles on the P&F charts. I think you had said we need to see 5 columns to form a triangle and then a break from it is playable.

Looking for older articles?

  Coiling Tighter and Tighter
New Bearish Plays | January 23rd, 2005
The bearish trading pattern in this semiconductor stock is forecasting a breakdown soon. We're going to use a trigger to catch the move.

Software Sinks
Bearish Play Updates | January 23rd, 2005
Our bearish software play has broken support and its 100-dma.

 
  Dividends and Oil
New Bullish Play | January 23rd, 2005
This oil trust has a huge dividend yield and a bullish chart pattern that is sure to grab the bulls' interest.

Coal, Aerospace and Natural Gas
Bullish Play Updates | January 23rd, 2005
Our non-tech bullish candidates have been narrowed to more defensive candidates given the pull back in the market.

Untriggered
Bearish Play Updates | January 23rd, 2005
Our bearish media play has shown a surprising lack of weakness the last couple of sessions and we remain untriggered.

Earnings are approaching
Closed Bullish Plays | January 23rd, 2005
It's our policy to avoid holding over an earnings report and this play ran out of time.

 
  Too Extended
New Bearish Play | January 23rd, 2005
This investment services company looks way overbought and suddenly teetering on the edge of a big breakdown.

Another Oil Victim
Closed Bullish Plays | December 2nd, 2004
This tanker stock is another victim of the sell-off in oil.

Momentum Play Hitting Highs.
Bullish Play Updates | November 28th, 2004
This momentum play is still hitting new highs but we're looking for a dip.

 
  No New Long-Term Play Candidates At This Time.

 
  HAFC announces a 2-for-1 split
Stock Split Announcements | January 20th, 2005
Thursday afternoon right at the closing bell the Hanmi Financial Corp. (NASDAQ:HAFC) announced that its Board of Directors had approved a 2-for-1 stock split of its common shares.

EBAY announces a 2-for-1 split
Stock Split Announcements | January 19th, 2005
Internet auction giant eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY) reported Q4 earnings after the bell this evening.

CHS fashions a 2-for-1 split
Stock Split Announcements | January 6th, 2005
Thursday morning before the market's opening bell Chico's FAS (NYSE:CHS) announced that its Board of Directors had approved a 2-for-1 stock split of its common shares.

CVCO announces a 2-for-1 split
Stock Split Announcements | January 6th, 2005
Thursday afternoon just minutes after the closing bell Cavco Industries, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors had authorized a 2-for-1 stock split of its common shares.

MATR announces a 3-for-2 split
Stock Split Announcements | January 6th, 2005
Thursday afternoon Matria Healthcare, Inc. (NASDAQ: MATR) announced that its Board of Directors had approved a 3-for-2 stock split of its common shares.

TALX announces a 3-for-2 split
Stock Split Announcements | January 6th, 2005
Thursday afternoon after the market's closing bell the TALX Corp. (NASDAQ:TALX) announced that its Board of Directors had approved a 3-for-2 stock split in the form of a 50% stock dividend.

MCRS splits shares 2-for-1
Stock Split Announcements | January 5th, 2005
Wednesday morning before the market's opening bell MICROS Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:MCRS) announced that its Board of Directors had approved a 2-for-1 stock split of its common shares in the form of a stock dividend.

CRDN announces a 3-for-2 stock split
Stock Split Announcements | December 20th, 2004
Monday morning before the market's opening bell Ceradyne, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRDN) announced that its Board of Directors had approved a 3-for-2 stock split of its common shares.

CMN announces a 3-for-2 stock split
Stock Split Announcements | December 16th, 2004
Thursday afternoon the Cantel Medical Corp. (NYSE:CMN) announced that its Board of Directors had approved a 3-for-2 stock split of its common shares.

FLIR declares a 2-for-1 stock split
Stock Split Announcements | December 16th, 2004
Thursday morning before the opening bell FLIR Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:FLIR) announced its FY05 earnings and revenue outlook.

JOYG mines a 3-for-2 stock split
Stock Split Announcements | December 16th, 2004
Thursday morning before the market's opening bell the Joy Global Inc. (NASDAQ:JOYG) announced that its Board of Directors had approved a 3-for-2 stock split of its common shares.

MTH builds a 2-for-1 stock split
Stock Split Announcements | December 16th, 2004
Thursday morning before the opening bell the Meritage Homes Corp. (NYSE:MTH) announced a 2-for-1 stock split of its common stock in the form of a stock dividend.

BCP grows a 3-for-2 stock split
Stock Split Announcements | December 16th, 2004
Thursday morning before the market's opening bell the Balchem Corporation (AMEX:BCP) announced that its Board of Directors had approved a 3-for-2 stock split of its common shares.

 

 

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